Vorskla Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
43.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
16º
13º
62
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vorskla Poltava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 1
POL
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HSP
3 - 1
VOR
8%
18%
74%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 1
VOR
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
VOR
2 - 1
SST
86%
10%
4%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 0
FCU
87%
10%
3%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DZG
2 - 2
SHA
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
DZG
1 - 0
SHA
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
IPS
1 - 0
SHA
44%
23%
34%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
BJK
0 - 1
SHA
46%
23%
31%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
5 - 0
RIZ
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |