Vora vs Luzi 2008 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
11.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
5º
4º
31
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 1
VOR
11%
19%
70%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
VOR
3 - 1
FLA
49%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
BYL
2 - 2
VOR
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 0
VOR
15%
21%
65%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
VOR
1 - 1
ELB
77%
14%
9%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Luzi 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LUZ
3 - 1
KRU
34%
26%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BYL
3 - 1
LUZ
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
APO
2 - 1
LUZ
66%
20%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
KOR
0 - 0
LUZ
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LUZ
2 - 0
TOM
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |