Vora vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
5º
4º
38
6º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 0
APO
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 1
VOR
22%
23%
55%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
KOR
1 - 2
VOR
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
VOR
4 - 2
KRU
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
BYL
2 - 0
VOR
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
KRU
3 - 1
BES
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BES
0 - 2
BYL
18%
25%
58%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 2
BES
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BES
2 - 0
TOM
52%
23%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 0
BES
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |