Voluntas vs Zagarolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
DER
1 - 0
VOL
46%
24%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ACS
1 - 1
VOL
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VOL
0 - 0
SSD
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 1
VOL
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VOL
1 - 4
FLA
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Zagarolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ZAG
0 - 3
CAS
23%
23%
54%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ZAG
0 - 1
ASD
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 0
ZAG
52%
23%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ZAG
3 - 2
PIE
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 1
ZAG
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |