Voluntas vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
59.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
VOL
0 - 1
GHI
14%
19%
68%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VFC
2 - 0
VOL
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
JMO
0 - 1
VOL
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VOL
0 - 1
SCA
21%
25%
55%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 0
VOL
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
USP
1 - 0
MAS
54%
24%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SCA
0 - 1
USP
33%
28%
40%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
USP
1 - 0
CAS
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
USP
33%
28%
39%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
USP
1 - 0
VMO
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |