Voluntas vs Todi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ARZ
3 - 0
VOL
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
VOL
0 - 0
PIA
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAS
3 - 1
VOL
60%
21%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
VOL
1 - 0
ASD
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
DER
2 - 2
VOL
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Todi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TOD
3 - 4
VIT
28%
27%
46%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 2
TOD
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
TOD
1 - 2
SPO
30%
25%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PIE
3 - 2
TOD
50%
24%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
TOD
1 - 1
CAS
24%
24%
52%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |