Voluntas vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
MAS
1 - 1
VOL
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VOL
0 - 2
FCV
13%
22%
65%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
VOL
64%
20%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VOL
2 - 0
SPO
44%
26%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SDT
2 - 0
VOL
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 1
JMO
33%
24%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SSD
2 - 1
FOL
24%
25%
51%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 2
SSD
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PIA
2 - 1
SSD
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SSD
1 - 0
VIT
32%
28%
40%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |