Voluntas vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 1
VOL
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VOL
1 - 4
FLA
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PIE
0 - 3
VOL
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
VOL
0 - 1
PON
48%
24%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 0
VOL
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SSD
1 - 0
ACS
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SSD
1 - 2
PON
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 0
SSD
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SSD
2 - 2
ORV
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 0
SSD
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -2 |