Voluntas vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ASD
1 - 1
VOL
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
VOL
4 - 0
ACM
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
SCA
1 - 0
VOL
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SSD
0 - 1
PRG
21%
25%
54%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CAS
4 - 1
SSD
58%
23%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
SSD
1 - 1
PIA
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
SSD
0 - 2
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ACM
1 - 1
SSD
29%
26%
46%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |