Voluntas vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VFC
1 - 3
VOL
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VOL
0 - 0
GAV
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
VOL
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VOL
2 - 2
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MAS
4 - 2
VOL
68%
20%
13%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 2
SAN
55%
26%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SDT
1 - 0
FOL
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 0
VIL
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 4
FOL
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 0
SPO
56%
25%
19%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |