Voluntas vs FiesoleCal... analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 0
VOL
47%
25%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
VOL
0 - 0
JMO
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
PIA
3 - 1
VOL
66%
20%
15%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 1
VOL
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VOL
5 - 2
ASD
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
FiesoleCal...
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FIE
1 - 4
ASD
53%
22%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
DER
0 - 3
FIE
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
FIE
1 - 0
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
FIE
2 - 1
ANC
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
OST
2 - 1
FIE
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |