Voluntas vs ASD Pontevecchio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
VOL
2 - 0
SAN
32%
27%
40%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
OST
1 - 0
VOL
61%
20%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VOL
1 - 1
DER
48%
26%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SCA
2 - 0
VOL
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VOL
1 - 0
ANC
55%
23%
23%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
ASD Pontevecchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ASD
3 - 1
DER
36%
27%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ANC
0 - 2
ASD
50%
23%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ASD
3 - 3
OST
16%
21%
63%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
PIS
5 - 0
ASD
82%
13%
5%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 2
SCA
27%
26%
47%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -2 |