Voluntas vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
58.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 0
VOL
44%
24%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VOL
1 - 2
FOL
30%
26%
44%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 1
VOL
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
VOL
1 - 0
FIE
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 0
VOL
47%
25%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ARZ
1 - 0
ASD
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DER
1 - 1
ARZ
12%
20%
68%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ARZ
2 - 2
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ANC
1 - 4
ARZ
14%
20%
65%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ARZ
0 - 0
OST
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |