Voluntas vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
64.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PIA
0 - 0
VOL
52%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VOL
1 - 0
CAS
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ASD
3 - 2
VOL
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VOL
1 - 0
DER
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ZAG
3 - 2
VOL
38%
24%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CAS
80%
14%
7%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
ARZ
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ARZ
3 - 0
SCA
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
PIE
2 - 1
ARZ
15%
21%
63%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
PIS
2 - 0
ARZ
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -2 |