Volga Novgorod vs Tobol Kurgan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Volga Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
ENE
2 - 1
VNN
59%
23%
17%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2004 |
NUF
4 - 2
VNN
56%
25%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
VNN
2 - 1
NOS
29%
27%
44%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +3 |
| 03 Aug. 2004 |
VNN
0 - 0
GAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
LAD
3 - 1
VNN
67%
21%
12%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kurgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
TOB
1 - 2
NUF
34%
27%
38%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2004 |
NOS
2 - 1
TOB
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
GAZ
0 - 0
TOB
47%
27%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
TOB
0 - 3
LAD
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2004 |
TOB
2 - 0
AKT
77%
16%
7%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |