Volga Novgorod vs Tobol Kurgan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Volga Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2003 |
VNN
3 - 0
ZEN
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2003 |
GAZ
1 - 1
VNN
68%
21%
11%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
NOS
3 - 0
VNN
72%
19%
10%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2003 |
VNN
0 - 1
ALA
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
VNN
2 - 1
NUF
38%
28%
34%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Tobol Kurgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2003 |
ENE
1 - 0
TOB
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2003 |
TOB
0 - 3
SNN
13%
21%
67%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
TOB
0 - 1
URL
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2003 |
KAM
7 - 1
TOB
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
ZEN
1 - 0
TOB
64%
21%
16%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |