Voghera vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Voghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
USS
2 - 3
VOG
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
VOG
1 - 4
USS
37%
25%
38%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SAL
3 - 0
VOG
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
VOG
0 - 3
NUO
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
VOG
2 - 2
FAN
49%
25%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 3
REN
20%
23%
57%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
OLG
1 - 1
CAR
51%
24%
26%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
OLG
47%
26%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 1
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
ALZ
23%
25%
52%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |