Voghera vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Voghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
DAR
1 - 2
VOG
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VOG
2 - 2
ACC
39%
27%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
GAL
0 - 4
VOG
30%
25%
45%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
VOG
0 - 1
MAP
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
VOG
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LEC
3 - 1
STG
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 1
USA
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SAV
0 - 1
LEC
69%
19%
11%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
VIN
1 - 1
LEC
53%
25%
23%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
3 - 2
MAN
14%
22%
64%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +3 |