Voghera vs AC Merate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Voghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ALZ
2 - 0
VOG
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
VOG
3 - 1
TRI
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
COL
2 - 2
VOG
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
VOG
2 - 0
FOL
58%
23%
20%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
VOG
1 - 4
OLG
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
AC Merate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ACM
1 - 2
FAN
20%
24%
56%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NUO
3 - 0
ACM
64%
21%
15%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ACM
1 - 1
CAR
24%
25%
51%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
REN
0 - 0
ACM
80%
14%
7%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ACM
2 - 4
PRO
18%
23%
59%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |