Vlora vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
58.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vlora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BUR
3 - 0
VLO
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
VLO
1 - 1
BUT
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LUS
4 - 1
VLO
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
VLO
1 - 2
LUF
30%
27%
44%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
VLO
0 - 0
BES
33%
28%
39%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 2
BES
15%
23%
62%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BES
2 - 1
MAM
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
KUK
2 - 1
BES
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BES
2 - 1
ADA
73%
19%
9%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
GRA
0 - 0
BES
13%
22%
65%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |