Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 3-2
Vllaznia vs Sligo Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
SLR
1 - 2
VLZ
40%
26%
35%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
TIR
2 - 1
VLZ
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
VLZ
1 - 1
LUS
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
VLZ
1 - 0
DIN
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SHK
1 - 2
VLZ
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sligo Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
SLR
2 - 2
DRO
47%
28%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
SLR
1 - 2
VLZ
40%
26%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
BOH
2 - 0
SLR
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2009 |
SLR
2 - 1
CAO
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
CAO
2 - 2
SLR
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |