Albanian Cup Last 16
Global 4-1
Vllaznia vs KF Iliria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BYL
0 - 1
VLZ
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
ILI
0 - 2
VLZ
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VLZ
1 - 1
APO
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
VLZ
3 - 0
LUF
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
KUK
0 - 0
VLZ
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
KF Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ILI
2 - 1
NAF
47%
27%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
ILI
0 - 2
VLZ
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
HIM
1 - 1
ILI
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ILI
3 - 0
GRA
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MAM
0 - 0
ILI
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |