Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 4-2
Vllaznia vs Hapoel Beer Sheva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
VLZ
4 - 1
LUS
75%
16%
10%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SHK
0 - 1
VLZ
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
VLZ
6 - 0
BES
79%
14%
8%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 1
VLZ
13%
22%
65%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
VLZ
3 - 0
TIR
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
HBS
3 - 1
HAP
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
HBS
2 - 1
MAC
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
MAC
3 - 1
HBS
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
HBS
2 - 1
MAC
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
ASH
1 - 1
HBS
42%
25%
32%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |