Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 2-1
Vllaznia vs FC Koper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
FCK
1 - 2
VLZ
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
BES
4 - 2
VLZ
20%
25%
55%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
VLZ
0 - 3
DIN
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
PAR
2 - 0
VLZ
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
TIR
0 - 2
VLZ
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
FC Koper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
FCK
1 - 3
GOR
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 2
FCK
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
FCK
1 - 2
VLZ
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
NKN
1 - 0
FCK
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
FCK
4 - 3
GOR
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |