Vllaznia vs Erzeni Shijak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
7º
4º
40
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
VLZ
2 - 1
BYL
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LAÇ
1 - 1
VLZ
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
VLZ
3 - 0
FLA
75%
16%
8%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
VLZ
1 - 2
PAR
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
TEU
0 - 0
VLZ
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Erzeni Shijak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TIR
0 - 1
ERZ
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
ERZ
0 - 2
KUK
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ERZ
4 - 0
TUR
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ERZ
0 - 0
EGN
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
BYL
4 - 1
ERZ
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -2 |