Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 2-1
Vllaznia vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
BIR
0 - 1
VLZ
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BYL
2 - 0
VLZ
30%
29%
41%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
VLZ
3 - 0
FLA
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
KFS
3 - 0
VLZ
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
VLZ
3 - 1
ELB
81%
14%
5%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
BIR
0 - 1
VLZ
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BIR
1 - 2
FLO
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
FLO
3 - 0
BIR
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BIR
2 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
BIR
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |