Albanian Cup Quarter-finals
Global 7-3
Vllaznia vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
VLZ
1 - 2
TEU
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
BES
2 - 2
VLZ
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
BES
1 - 0
VLZ
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
VLZ
0 - 0
BES
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
VLZ
2 - 0
KFS
77%
16%
8%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
BES
1 - 0
KRU
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
BES
2 - 2
VLZ
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
BES
1 - 0
VLZ
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
BES
2 - 0
LUF
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
BES
2 - 2
BES
27%
27%
47%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |