Vittoria vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
52.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vittoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 0
VIT
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
VIT
0 - 0
SAS
29%
28%
43%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
FRO
2 - 1
VIT
73%
18%
10%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 1
PAV
26%
27%
47%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 1
VIT
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
SPE
2 - 4
MAN
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
PRO
1 - 0
SPE
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
SPE
3 - 1
ACS
63%
23%
15%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
NOV
3 - 3
SPE
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
SPE
1 - 0
ASL
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |