Vitré vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
14º
4º
30
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 32% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 68% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
ESO
1 - 1
VIT
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
VIT
3 - 0
LAT
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
USS
0 - 1
VIT
42%
24%
35%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
VIT
2 - 1
SAB
55%
22%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LAV
2 - 4
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SPG
1 - 1
CHA
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PAN
1 - 2
SPG
40%
23%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SPG
1 - 3
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
FON
1 - 1
SPG
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SPG
0 - 2
QUE
6%
14%
80%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | 0 |