Vitré vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
69.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
VIT
1 - 3
LYO
4%
16%
80%
|
40 | 84 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
GUI
3 - 1
AJA
62%
23%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 2
LIL
30%
31%
39%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
SOC
3 - 0
AJA
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2002 |
NIC
3 - 0
AJA
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 2
LHA
40%
29%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |