Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 1-1
Vitória vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 1
BAH
64%
20%
15%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 0
VIT
14%
22%
64%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
BAH
3 - 7
VIT
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SDJ
2 - 0
VIT
13%
19%
68%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
VIT
4 - 0
SDJ
86%
10%
4%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 0
VIT
14%
22%
64%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 0
BEL
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
SAL
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 2
SAL
26%
25%
50%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
SAL
3 - 1
CEN
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |