Vitória vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
VIT
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
VIT
3 - 3
FLA
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
VIT
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 1
RIV
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 3
VIT
66%
19%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
NAU
3 - 0
PAL
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
SCI
3 - 1
NAU
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAO
27%
27%
47%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
COT
2 - 0
NAU
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
NAU
0 - 0
ATM
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |