Vitória vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
REC
1 - 0
VIT
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
VIT
3 - 2
SPO
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
AVA
0 - 1
VIT
26%
28%
46%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 1
ITU
74%
17%
10%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2005 |
NAU
1 - 1
CEA
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2005 |
NAU
2 - 1
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAU
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2005 |
NAU
3 - 1
CRB
54%
22%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 2
NAU
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |