Vitória vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
GRE
1 - 0
VIT
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1990 |
VIT
1 - 2
FLU
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
ECS
2 - 1
VIT
47%
29%
24%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
SAO
4 - 0
VIT
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
VIT
3 - 0
INT
56%
26%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
PAL
1 - 1
NAU
62%
22%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
NAU
0 - 0
ECS
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
NAU
1 - 0
CRZ
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
INT
1 - 0
NAU
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
GRE
5 - 0
NAU
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |