Vitória vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1980 |
VAS
2 - 0
VIT
68%
21%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
GUA
2 - 0
VIT
69%
19%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
VIT
8 - 1
ARN
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1980 |
ATM
5 - 1
VIT
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
VIT
4 - 2
DES
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
ITA
0 - 5
NAU
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1980 |
PPE
1 - 2
NAU
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
SAN
4 - 1
NAU
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
NAU
2 - 2
FLA
33%
30%
37%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1980 |
SAO
1 - 1
NAU
36%
29%
36%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |