Vitória vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
5.8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 1
VIT
49%
28%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
CON
55%
26%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
GOI
3 - 0
VIT
57%
25%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
BOT
30%
29%
41%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LON
1 - 0
VIT
36%
29%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
BAH
42%
25%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 2
ARN
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 1
ITA
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 1
ITA
60%
24%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ITA
3 - 1
ALA
39%
26%
36%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |