Vitória vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 2
VIT
15%
24%
61%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 1
BOA
75%
18%
8%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 0
VIT
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 2
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
GOI
4 - 1
VIT
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
PPE
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 0
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 3
GOI
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
NAU
3 - 2
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |