Vitória vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 1
COR
28%
26%
47%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 0
VIT
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 0
BAH
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIT
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
COT
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
COT
4 - 1
ATL
56%
26%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
COT
0 - 0
ATP
44%
28%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ATP
0 - 3
COT
52%
27%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
COT
3 - 1
CIA
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |