Vitória vs Coritiba analysis

Vitória Coritiba
76 ELO 77
12.8% Tilt -9.7%
138º General ELO ranking 250º
17º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
53.2%
Vitória
24.5%
Draw
22.4%
Coritiba

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
Vitória
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.4%
Win probability
Coritiba
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória
-7%
+6%
Coritiba

ELO progression

Vitória
Coritiba
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 May. 2017
VIT
Vitória
0 - 1
Corinthians
COR
28%
26%
47%
76 86 10 0
14 May. 2017
AVA
Avaí
0 - 0
Vitória
VIT
35%
28%
37%
77 70 7 -1
07 May. 2017
VIT
Vitória
0 - 0
Bahía
BAH
60%
22%
18%
76 74 2 +1
04 May. 2017
BAH
Bahía
1 - 1
Vitória
VIT
42%
27%
31%
76 74 2 0
30 Apr. 2017
BAH
Bahía
2 - 0
Vitória
VIT
38%
27%
35%
77 73 4 -1

Matches

Coritiba
Coritiba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2017
SAN
Santos FC
1 - 0
Coritiba
COT
73%
18%
10%
77 86 9 0
16 May. 2017
COT
Coritiba
4 - 1
Atlético GO
ATL
56%
26%
18%
77 71 6 0
07 May. 2017
COT
Coritiba
0 - 0
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
44%
28%
28%
76 79 3 +1
30 Apr. 2017
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
0 - 3
Coritiba
COT
52%
27%
21%
75 80 5 +1
23 Apr. 2017
COT
Coritiba
3 - 1
Cianorte
CIA
71%
19%
10%
75 57 18 0