Vitória vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LON
1 - 0
VIT
36%
29%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
COT
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
BRU
0 - 0
VIT
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 2
REM
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
OPE
0 - 1
VIT
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAM
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 0
BOT
37%
29%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
3 - 1
NAU
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
4 - 0
LON
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
REM
0 - 1
BOT
24%
29%
47%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |