Vitória vs Botafogo analysis

Vitória Botafogo
76 ELO 81
13.8% Tilt -9.8%
138º General ELO ranking 162º
17º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
43.5%
Vitória
27.3%
Draw
29.3%
Botafogo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
Vitória
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.3%
Win probability
Botafogo
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória
-7%
+9%
Botafogo

ELO progression

Vitória
Botafogo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2017
VIT
Vitória
2 - 0
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
26%
25%
49%
75 85 10 0
09 Jun. 2017
SAO
São Paulo
2 - 0
Vitória
VIT
58%
24%
19%
75 79 4 0
03 Jun. 2017
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 1
Vitória
VIT
63%
22%
16%
76 80 4 -1
28 May. 2017
VIT
Vitória
0 - 1
Coritiba
COT
53%
25%
22%
76 77 1 0
21 May. 2017
VIT
Vitória
0 - 1
Corinthians
COR
28%
26%
47%
76 86 10 0

Matches

Botafogo
Botafogo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2017
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 2
Coritiba
COT
58%
24%
18%
81 78 3 0
08 Jun. 2017
SAN
Santos FC
1 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
65%
21%
14%
81 86 5 0
04 Jun. 2017
FLA
Flamengo
0 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
64%
21%
15%
81 85 4 0
01 Jun. 2017
SPO
Sport Recife
1 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
42%
27%
31%
81 75 6 0
29 May. 2017
BOT
Botafogo
1 - 0
Bahía
BAH
63%
22%
15%
81 75 6 0