Vitória vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
SCI
0 - 1
VIT
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
ATM
2 - 1
VIT
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
COT
1 - 0
VIT
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
AMF
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAN
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CRZ
0 - 2
BOT
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
FLU
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 5
CRZ
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |