Liga do Nordeste Qualifying Round Final
Global 3-3
Vitória vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
VIT
3 - 0
CRZ
35%
30%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
VAS
0 - 3
VIT
58%
25%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
VIT
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
CSA
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
PPE
0 - 0
VIT
53%
25%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ITU
3 - 1
BOT
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 0
PAY
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
VIT
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 0
CRI
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
IMP
79%
15%
7%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |