Vitória vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
VIT
12%
20%
68%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 0
ITA
84%
12%
5%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 5
VIT
14%
21%
65%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VIT
6 - 1
JUA
84%
12%
5%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 1
VIT
11%
18%
70%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 2
BAH
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIT
59%
22%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 4
BAH
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 0
BAH
19%
22%
59%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
JUA
1 - 3
BAH
29%
24%
47%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |