Vitória Setúbal vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2001 |
MAR
3 - 1
VST
61%
24%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
VST
2 - 1
NAV
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
LEC
0 - 4
VST
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
ESP
0 - 1
VST
37%
29%
35%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
VST
5 - 2
OVA
71%
18%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
VAR
2 - 2
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
VAR
2 - 1
OVA
69%
19%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
FEL
1 - 1
VAR
38%
27%
34%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
VAR
3 - 2
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAR
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |