Vitória Setúbal vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
SAL
1 - 0
VST
43%
27%
29%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
VST
3 - 0
FAR
62%
25%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
ACA
0 - 0
VST
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
VST
1 - 0
VIT
54%
25%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
VST
2 - 2
POR
58%
25%
18%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1984 |
BOA
1 - 0
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 1
RIO
52%
28%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
FCP
5 - 1
VAR
86%
10%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 0
SPB
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
VIZ
1 - 1
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |