Vitória Setúbal vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
65.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 3
VST
47%
24%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 0
VST
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
VST
1 - 2
NAC
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SCP
2 - 1
VST
70%
20%
11%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
VST
2 - 0
AVE
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
S04
1 - 1
FCP
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
FCP
1 - 1
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FCP
3 - 0
MOR
83%
13%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FCP
2 - 3
VIT
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 3
FCP
27%
25%
48%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |