Vitória Setúbal vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
67.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VST
1 - 2
VIT
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SLB
6 - 0
VST
80%
14%
7%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
SLB
2 - 0
VST
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
VST
0 - 1
AVE
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
POR
5 - 2
VST
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
FCP
5 - 2
MON
45%
23%
32%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
FCP
0 - 0
SLB
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
FCP
12%
20%
68%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
BJK
1 - 1
FCP
35%
26%
39%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
FCP
3 - 2
POR
81%
14%
6%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |