Vitória Setúbal vs Estrela da Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VST
2 - 0
ALJ
81%
14%
5%
|
65 | 20 | 45 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 1
VST
10%
20%
70%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
VST
1 - 1
AMO
79%
16%
5%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
VST
5 - 2
LGC
77%
17%
6%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PIN
1 - 4
VST
9%
20%
71%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela da Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ESA
2 - 1
RAB
86%
11%
3%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
FAB
1 - 2
ESA
9%
19%
72%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
IDE
0 - 0
ESA
11%
20%
69%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ESA
1 - 0
SCP
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
1 - 3
ESA
13%
21%
67%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |