Vitória Setúbal vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
60.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 2
VST
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 1
VST
18%
21%
61%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VST
1 - 3
SLB
16%
22%
62%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 0
VST
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VST
0 - 3
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SLB
2 - 2
SPB
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
F95
0 - 0
SLB
18%
23%
59%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
SLB
52%
23%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
SLB
5 - 2
RMA
11%
19%
70%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
EIN
3 - 1
SLB
15%
22%
63%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |