Vitória Setúbal vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
VST
40%
27%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2006 |
VST
0 - 2
BOA
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
PIN
0 - 0
VST
11%
18%
71%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
VST
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 0
NAC
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
LOU
0 - 0
ACA
13%
20%
67%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 2
ACA
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 1
BEL
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |